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The 2016 World Economic Forum, more widely known as the Davos Forum, is an annual meeting established in 1991 that brings together a curated selection of the world’s leading businessmen, politicians and scholars in the Swiss county of Graubünden.

Renowned for initiating new debates of global importance, the 2016 edition of this prestigious congress centred on a concept that has been on everyone’s lips for some four years but has very recently become a subject of rekindled interest: the so-called “Fourth Industrial Revolution.”

What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution and what is its impact on businesses?

Fourth Industrial Revolution: fundamentals and consequences

What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution?

Klaus Schwab, executive chairman and founder of the Davos Forum, has written a book and an article about the event for Foreign Affairs, the leading magazine for analysis and debate of foreign policy. Schwab firstly considers that the first three industrial revolutions had two key impacts: they contributed to a greater level of automation and interconnectivity.

The first revolution occurred in 1784 with the use of water to generate steam that effectively mechanized production; in 1870, with the use of electricity to enable mass production; again in 1970, with the advent of electronics and information technology. And today it is happening again, thanks to technological advances that are allowing unhampered levels of automation and the almost universal use of smart devices that are enabling near-unimaginable levels of interconnectivity between people.

1st Industrial Revolution
1780 – 1840
2nd Industrial Revolution
1870 – 1914
3rd Industrial Revolution
1945 – 1970

4th Industrial Revolution
1970 – …

Water and steam power.

Mechanized production.

Electric power.

Mass production.

Electronics and information technology.

Automated production.

Fusion of technologies.

Blurred lines between the physical, digital and biological spheres.

It could be ascertained that the Fourth Revolution simply continues in the wake of the Third, but given the awesome leap that technology has taken since 1970 and especially from the year 2000, it can not be considered a mere sequel. Its exponential reach is now such that the lines between the physical, digital and biological spheres are completely blurred – the Fourth Revolution not only affects the way we work and the way we live, but also how we relate to others, how governments conduct their affairs, etc.

“In its scale, scope and complexity, the transformation will be unlike anything humankind has experienced before.”

Klaus Schwab

What makes this revolution so different from the others?

In addition to its global scope, unheard of in previous revolutions, and its economic, social, political and security-related implications, the Fourth Industrial Revolution is also characterized by the following:

  • … The pace is much faster than in previous revolutions. If the First Industrial Revolution took five decades to bear fruit, nowadays certain new technologies interrupt, irreversibly impact and render entire industries obsolete in less than a few months. In Schwab’s view, the current revolution is the very first that, instead of progressing in a linear fashion, is growing exponentially.

  • … Changes impact visibly on everyday life. While previous revolutions altered what we did and how we did it, the new revolution directly impacts on whom we are. For example, the Internet has completely changed our definitions of privacy or ownership, both of which are intrinsic aspects of our identity.

“The possibilities of billions of people connected by mobile devices, with unprecedent processing power, storage capacity, and access to knowledge, are unlimited.”

Klaus Schwab

What technologies are making this revolution possible?

Various technologies have supported this Fourth Revolution and are themselves in constant evolution. They include, among others, virtual reality, the so-called “Internet of things,” artificial intelligence, self-piloted vehicles, virtual assistants, investment software, big data, 3D printing, nanotechnology, biotechnology and quantum computing.

Often we consider these technologies are still in an embryonic phase, but although it is may be true with regards to their universal usage, there are already an intrinsic part of the industrial sector.

To give an example, virtual reality allows the virtual recreation of entire environments in which to do product testing, the Internet of things connects machines and people to increase work efficiency and the use of big data allows machines to predict possible errors based on data and automatically carry out maintenance procedures.

FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

OPPORTUNITIESCHALLENGES
  • Raise salaries and improve quality of life for people everywhere.
  • New products and services that increase efficiency and personal well-being.
  • Lowered costs for transport, business and communications.
  • Greater efficiency for supply chains.
  • New markets and economic growth.
  • Greater global inequality due to the disruption of the job market.
  • Rise of social tensions due to job market segregation between qualified and unqualified individuals.
  • Greater difference between returns from investment and those from employment.
  • Decreasing size of the middle class.

So the revolution is happening. Now what?

According to Klaus Schwab, the proximity of the Fourth Industrial Revolution will culminate in a series of key geopolitical outcomes in which the scholar suggests that a polarized job market will lead to greater inequality and increased social tensions.

Impact of this revolution, according to Schwab:

  • For governments: will face more pressure than ever from taxpayers while depending on more mechanisms to govern the population
  • For society: already redefining notions of privacy and ownership, patterns of consumption, career paths for professionals and interpersonal relationships
  • For businesses.

“Overall, the inexorable shift from simple digitization to innovation based on combinations of technologies is forcing companies to reexamine the way they do business.”

Klaus Schwab

According to the Davos Forum founder, the consequences for business fall into four categories:

  1. Client expectations will reside at the centre of all business decisions.
  2. Technology will increase the quality of products and include digital capabilities.
  3. Collaborations will foster significant innovations, as the unstoppable advances of technology will make the client/supplier model obsolete.
  4. Companies will be dominated by new forms of organization, such as a new approach to the evaluation and management of talent.

It is still too early to guess how to achieve success in the context of the Fourth Revolution, but initial conclusions put forward by Schwab indicate that the key for businesses now is to carefully choose their technological providers and rethink their relationship as being one of colleagues and allies.

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